Tuesday, October 31, 2006
A new poll published today gives Democrat Diane Farrell a 4 point advantage over Rep. Christopher Shays in Connecticut’s 4th Congressional District race.
But because the latest poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, it also suggests that the closely watched contest remains a statistical dead heat.
Sponsored by the Manchester Journal Inquirer and The Day of New London, the poll by Research 2000, an Olney, Md., polling firm, of 600 likely voters in the 4th Congressional District was conducted by telephone between Thursday and Saturday.
It shows the former Westport first selectwoman leading Shays by a 47 percent to 43 percent margin, with 10 percent undecided.
The respondents also were closely divided when asked their opinions of the candidates, with 53 percent indicating they had a favorable opinion of Farrell, compared to 51 percent for Shays.
More people, however, said they had an unfavorable opinion of Shays - 35 percent - while 29 percent said they held an unfavorable opinion of Farrell.
Asked to name the single-most important issue in determining their vote, 33 percent of all respondents said the war in Iraq, 16 percent said the economy, 12 percent said health care costs, and another 12 percent said the war on terror.
Those numbers differed according to party affiliation, with the most Democrats - 41 percent - citing the war in Iraq, and the most Republicans - 29 percent - citing the war on terror.
The most independents - 38 percent - also cited the war in Iraq.
Posted 10/31/06 at 02:02 AM Permalink